Goal expectancy
1.56Expected goals1.29
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Marienlyst 5-0 Odder Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Marienlyst
Estimated win chances: Marienlyst 43.7%, draw 24.8%, Odder 31.6%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellMarienlyst
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
39Cold spellOdder
Marienlyst · cold formOdder · cold form
Marienlyst
5W · 2D · 6LRecent →LLLWLLWWWDWLD
Momentum index
Odder
3W · 5D · 5LRecent →DWDWLLLLDWLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMarienlyst +3
Marienlyst
17 pts38% wins
5W · 2D · 6L · 13 played
For18
Against21
Odder
14 pts23% wins
3W · 5D · 5L · 13 played
For17
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Marienlyst offensive edge
Marienlyst faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-18 - Odder offensive edge
Odder's attack (65%) vs Marienlyst's defense (47%).
+18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Marienlystcold form
Oddercold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Marienlyst20%
1Draws
3Odder60%