Marignane 1-2 Anglet Genets Prediction

MarignaneMarignane
1 — 2FT
Anglet GenetsAnglet Genets

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Marignane

Estimated win chances: Marignane 45.1%, draw 26.2%, Anglet Genets 28.7%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.45Expected goals1.10

From 11 and 11 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–08.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

39Cold spellMarignane
Weighted momentum

Marignane carries the sharper recent run (+19 momentum).

20Cold spellAnglet Genets
Marignane · low scoring · cold formAnglet Genets · low scoring · cold form

Marignane

4W · 2D · 5L
Recent →LWDLWLLDWLW
Momentum index

Anglet Genets

1W · 3D · 7L
Recent →DLDLWLLLLLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMarignane +8

Marignane

14 pts
36% wins

4W · 2D · 5L · 11 played

For
11
Against
16
Goal diff -5

Anglet Genets

6 pts
9% wins

1W · 3D · 7L · 11 played

For
9
Against
18
Goal diff -9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Marignane offensive edge

    Marignane faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -2
  • Anglet Genets offensive edge

    Anglet Genets's attack (64%) vs Marignane's defense (62%).

    +2

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Marignane36
Anglet Genets64

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Marignane62
Anglet Genets38

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Marignane39
Anglet Genets20

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Marignane46
Anglet Genets54

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Marignane30
Anglet Genets32

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Marignane58
Anglet Genets42

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Marignane0
Anglet Genets0
Marignanelow scoring · cold form
Anglet Genetslow scoring · cold form