Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals1.23
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Marinhense 0-0 Peniche Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Marinhense 36.9%, draw 27.1%, Peniche 36%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
22Cold spellMarinhense
Weighted momentum
Peniche arrives with stronger form weighting (+20 momentum).
42MixedPeniche
Marinhense · low scoring · cold form
Marinhense
2W · 5D · 6LRecent →LLDDLDLWLLDDW
Momentum index
Peniche
5W · 2D · 6LRecent →DWLLDWLLWLWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPeniche +6
Marinhense
11 pts15% wins
2W · 5D · 6L · 13 played
For7
Against19
Peniche
17 pts38% wins
5W · 2D · 6L · 13 played
For15
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Marinhense offensive edge
Marinhense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14 - Peniche offensive edge
Peniche's attack (71%) vs Marinhense's defense (57%).
+14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Marinhenselow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Marinhense38%
2Draws
3Peniche38%