Maritimo 3-2 Academica Prediction

MaritimoMaritimo
3 — 2FT
AcademicaAcademica
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MaritimoMaritimovsAcademicaAcademica

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Maritimo

Estimated win chances: Maritimo 45.9%, draw 25.8%, Academica 28.2%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.49Expected goals1.11

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 0–18.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

69Hot streakMaritimo
Weighted momentum

Maritimo carries the sharper recent run (+30 momentum).

39Cold spellAcademica
Maritimo · hot formAcademica · cold form

Maritimo

5W · 3D · 1L
Recent →DWDWWWWLD
Momentum index

Academica

4W · 1D · 4L
Recent →DLLWLWLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMaritimo +5

Maritimo

18 pts
56% wins

5W · 3D · 1L · 9 played

For
13
Against
9
Goal diff +4

Academica

13 pts
44% wins

4W · 1D · 4L · 9 played

For
12
Against
12
Goal diff +0

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Maritimo offensive edge

    Maritimo's attack (62%) vs Academica's defense (31%).

    +31
  • Academica offensive edge

    Academica runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -31

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Maritimo62
Academica38

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Maritimo69
Academica31

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Maritimo69
Academica39

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Maritimo112
Academica-12

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Maritimo30
Academica30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Maritimo73
Academica27

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Maritimo100
Academica0
Maritimohot form
Academicacold form