Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals0.95
From 33 and 33 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Maritimo
Estimated win chances: Maritimo 49.8%, draw 26.2%, Chaves 24.1%. From 33 and 33 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
66BuildingMaritimo
Weighted momentum
Maritimo carries the sharper recent run (+27 momentum).
39Cold spellChaves
Maritimo · compact defense · hot formChaves · cold form
Maritimo
20W · 6D · 7LRecent →LWWLWDWWWLWWLDDWWWDWWWWWLLDWDWWWL
Momentum index
Chaves
12W · 6D · 15LRecent →LLWLWLLWWLWLLLDLLLWWWDWLLLWWDWDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMaritimo +24
Maritimo
66 pts61% wins
20W · 6D · 7L · 33 played
For49
Against26
Chaves
42 pts36% wins
12W · 6D · 15L · 33 played
For39
Against39
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Maritimo offensive edge
Maritimo's attack (38%) vs Chaves's defense (33%).
+5 - Chaves offensive edge
Chaves runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Maritimocompact defense · hot form
Chavescold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Maritimo50%
2Draws
3Chaves30%