Maritimo 2-1 Estoril Prediction

MaritimoMaritimo
2 — 1FT
EstorilEstoril
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MaritimoMaritimovsEstorilEstoril

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Maritimo 37.1%, draw 26.3%, Estoril 36.6%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.31Expected goals1.30

From 18 and 18 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 0–19.8%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

43MixedMaritimo
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

42MixedEstoril
Maritimo · low scoring

Maritimo

5W · 7D · 6L
Recent →WLDWDDLWDDLLWLLDDW
Momentum index

Estoril

6W · 4D · 8L
Recent →WLDLWLLWLWWLLDWDDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Maritimo

22 pts
28% wins

5W · 7D · 6L · 18 played

For
17
Against
27
Goal diff -10

Estoril

22 pts
33% wins

6W · 4D · 8L · 18 played

For
26
Against
26
Goal diff +0

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Maritimo offensive edge

    Maritimo faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -4
  • Estoril offensive edge

    Estoril's attack (54%) vs Maritimo's defense (50%).

    +4

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Maritimo46
Estoril54

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Maritimo50
Estoril50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Maritimo43
Estoril42

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Maritimo42
Estoril58

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Maritimo30
Estoril30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Maritimo53
Estoril47

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Maritimo0
Estoril100
Maritimolow scoring