Maritimo 1-1 Nacional Prediction

MaritimoMaritimo
1 — 1FT
NacionalNacional
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MaritimoMaritimovsNacionalNacional

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Maritimo

Estimated win chances: Maritimo 45.3%, draw 28.3%, Nacional 26.4%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.30Expected goals0.92

From 25 and 25 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–014.3%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–011%
  • 0–110.1%
  • 2–09.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

49MixedMaritimo
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

44MixedNacional
Nacional · low scoring

Maritimo

8W · 7D · 10L
Recent →WWWLLWLLLWLDWWDDDWDLDDLLL
Momentum index

Nacional

9W · 7D · 9L
Recent →WLDDWLDLLWDDWLDWWLWDLLLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapNacional +3

Maritimo

31 pts
32% wins

8W · 7D · 10L · 25 played

For
31
Against
26
Goal diff +5

Nacional

34 pts
36% wins

9W · 7D · 9L · 25 played

For
22
Against
27
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Maritimo offensive edge

    Maritimo's attack (69%) vs Nacional's defense (50%).

    +19
  • Nacional offensive edge

    Nacional runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -19

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Maritimo69
Nacional31

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Maritimo50
Nacional50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Maritimo49
Nacional44

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Maritimo88
Nacional12

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Maritimo30
Nacional30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Maritimo53
Nacional47

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Maritimo50
Nacional50
Nacionallow scoring