Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.23
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Maritimo
Estimated win chances: Maritimo 40.9%, draw 26.1%, Olhanense 33%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
34Cold spellMaritimo
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
33Cold spellOlhanense
Maritimo · low scoring · cold formOlhanense · cold form
Maritimo
3W · 6D · 5LRecent →DDLWDDLLWLLDDW
Momentum index
Olhanense
3W · 5D · 6LRecent →LWDLLWDDDLLLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMaritimo +1
Maritimo
15 pts21% wins
3W · 6D · 5L · 14 played
For12
Against22
Olhanense
14 pts21% wins
3W · 5D · 6L · 14 played
For16
Against22
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Maritimo offensive edge
Maritimo's attack (70%) vs Olhanense's defense (50%).
+20 - Olhanense offensive edge
Olhanense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Maritimolow scoring · cold form
Olhanensecold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Maritimo50%
2Draws
0Olhanense0%