Maritimo 0-1 Rio Ave Prediction

MaritimoMaritimo
0 — 1FT
Rio AveRio Ave
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MaritimoMaritimovsRio AveRio Ave

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Maritimo

Estimated win chances: Maritimo 42%, draw 28.3%, Rio Ave 29.7%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.26Expected goals1.01

From 21 and 21 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–013.2%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 0–010.5%
  • 2–18.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

38Cold spellMaritimo
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

44MixedRio Ave
Maritimo · low scoring · cold formRio Ave · low scoring

Maritimo

5W · 7D · 9L
Recent →LWLLLWLDWWDDDWDLDDLLL
Momentum index

Rio Ave

6W · 5D · 10L
Recent →WWWLLLLLDWWDWLDLDLLDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapRio Ave +1

Maritimo

22 pts
24% wins

5W · 7D · 9L · 21 played

For
21
Against
24
Goal diff -3

Rio Ave

23 pts
29% wins

6W · 5D · 10L · 21 played

For
21
Against
26
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Maritimo offensive edge

    Maritimo faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -34
  • Rio Ave offensive edge

    Rio Ave's attack (67%) vs Maritimo's defense (33%).

    +34

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Maritimo33
Rio Ave67

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Maritimo33
Rio Ave67

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Maritimo38
Rio Ave44

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Maritimo-18
Rio Ave118

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Maritimo30
Rio Ave30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Maritimo25
Rio Ave75

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Maritimo50
Rio Ave50
Maritimolow scoring · cold form
Rio Avelow scoring