Marquense 1-0 Malacateco Prediction

MarquenseMarquense
1 — 0FT
MalacatecoMalacateco
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MarquenseMarquensevsMalacatecoMalacateco

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Marquense

Estimated win chances: Marquense 56.7%, draw 23.3%, Malacateco 20%. From 31 and 29 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.77Expected goals0.95

From 31 and 29 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–012.1%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–010.7%
  • 2–110.2%
  • 0–06.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

60BuildingMarquense
Weighted momentum

Marquense carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).

45MixedMalacateco
Marquense · compact defenseMalacateco · leaky defense

Marquense

14W · 12D · 5L
Recent →WDWDWWWDLDLWLWWDLDDWWWWDDWDDDWL
Momentum index

Malacateco

8W · 11D · 10L
Recent →WWWDLWLLWDLDWDDLDLDLDLDLWDWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Marquense

54 pts
45% wins

14W · 12D · 5L · 31 played

For
47
Against
22
Goal diff +25

Malacateco

35 pts
28% wins

8W · 11D · 10L · 29 played

For
38
Against
51
Goal diff -13

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Marquense offensive edge

    Marquense's attack (56%) vs Malacateco's defense (0%).

    +56
  • Malacateco offensive edge

    Malacateco runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -56

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Marquense56
Malacateco44

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Marquense100
Malacateco0

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Marquense60
Malacateco45

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Marquense162
Malacateco-62

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Marquense30
Malacateco37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Marquense52
Malacateco48

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Marquense20
Malacateco80
Marquensecompact defense
Malacatecoleaky defense