Goal expectancy
1.56Expected goals1.29
From 13 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Marquense
Estimated win chances: Marquense 43.7%, draw 24.8%, Mixco 31.6%. From 13 and 12 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingMarquense
Weighted momentum
Marquense carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).
47MixedMixco
Mixco · leaky defense
Marquense
6W · 2D · 5LRecent →DWWLDWLWWWLLL
Momentum index
Mixco
5W · 2D · 5LRecent →DWLWLDLWLWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Marquense
20 pts46% wins
6W · 2D · 5L · 13 played
For14
Against16
Mixco
17 pts42% wins
5W · 2D · 5L · 12 played
For20
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Marquense offensive edge
Marquense's attack (31%) vs Mixco's defense (25%).
+6 - Mixco offensive edge
Mixco runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Mixcoleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Marquense50%
3Draws
2Mixco20%