Goal expectancy
1.13Expected goals1.45
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Matchakhela 1-4 Meshakhte Prediction
Balanced — model leans Meshakhte
Estimated win chances: Matchakhela 29.5%, draw 26.1%, Meshakhte 44.4%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellMatchakhela
Weighted momentum
Meshakhte arrives with stronger form weighting (+28 momentum).
61BuildingMeshakhte
Matchakhela · High-risk / fragileMeshakhte · compact defense
Matchakhela
6W · 4D · 11LRecent →LDLDLWLWLWDLDWLLLWLWL
Momentum index
Meshakhte
10W · 6D · 5LRecent →WLDWWWWDLWDDDLWWWDWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMeshakhte +14
Matchakhela
22 pts29% wins
6W · 4D · 11L · 21 played
For21
Against42
Meshakhte
36 pts48% wins
10W · 6D · 5L · 21 played
For28
Against18
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Matchakhela offensive edge
Matchakhela faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-37 - Meshakhte offensive edge
Meshakhte's attack (62%) vs Matchakhela's defense (25%).
+37
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
MatchakhelaHigh-risk / fragile
Meshakhtecompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Matchakhela33%
2Draws
0Meshakhte0%