Matese 0-1 Sora Prediction

MateseMatese
0 — 1FT
SoraSora

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Matese

Estimated win chances: Matese 40.2%, draw 27.9%, Sora 31.9%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.26Expected goals1.09

From 7 and 7 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 2–18.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

50MixedMatese
Weighted momentum

Matese carries the sharper recent run (+12 momentum).

38Cold spellSora
Matese · low scoringSora · low scoring · cold form

Matese

3W · 0D · 4L
Recent →LWWWLLL
Momentum index

Sora

2W · 2D · 3L
Recent →LDDWWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMatese +1

Matese

9 pts
43% wins

3W · 0D · 4L · 7 played

For
6
Against
9
Goal diff -3

Sora

8 pts
29% wins

2W · 2D · 3L · 7 played

For
6
Against
8
Goal diff -2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Matese offensive edge

    Matese's attack (55%) vs Sora's defense (50%).

    +5
  • Sora offensive edge

    Sora runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Matese55
Sora45

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Matese50
Sora50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Matese50
Sora38

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Matese60
Sora40

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Matese30
Sora30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Matese53
Sora47

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Matese0
Sora0
Mateselow scoring
Soralow scoring · cold form