Meshakhte 2-1 Gagra Prediction

MeshakhteMeshakhte
2 — 1FT
GagraGagra
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MeshakhteMeshakhtevsGagraGagra

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Gagra

Estimated win chances: Meshakhte 29.8%, draw 23.5%, Gagra 46.7%. From 30 and 30 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.34Expected goals1.73

From 30 and 30 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 0–27.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

43MixedMeshakhte
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

50MixedGagra
Meshakhte · leaky defense

Meshakhte

10W · 6D · 14L
Recent →LWLWLLLDDWWDWWWLDLLWLWDLLLWDLL
Momentum index

Gagra

16W · 4D · 10L
Recent →DLLWLWDDLWLWLWWWLDWLWWWWWLWLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapGagra +16

Meshakhte

36 pts
33% wins

10W · 6D · 14L · 30 played

For
33
Against
63
Goal diff -30

Gagra

52 pts
53% wins

16W · 4D · 10L · 30 played

For
57
Against
38
Goal diff +19

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Meshakhte offensive edge

    Meshakhte faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -6
  • Gagra offensive edge

    Gagra's attack (54%) vs Meshakhte's defense (48%).

    +6

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Meshakhte46
Gagra54

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Meshakhte48
Gagra52

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Meshakhte43
Gagra50

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Meshakhte38
Gagra62

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Meshakhte43
Gagra30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Meshakhte60
Gagra40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Meshakhte50
Gagra50
Meshakhteleaky defense