Goal expectancy
0.98Expected goals1.30
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Rustavi
Estimated win chances: Meshakhte 28.1%, draw 28%, Rustavi 43.9%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
19Cold spellMeshakhte
Weighted momentum
Rustavi arrives with stronger form weighting (+39 momentum).
58BuildingRustavi
Meshakhte · High-risk / fragileRustavi · compact defense
Meshakhte
2W · 10D · 13LRecent →DDWLLLLDLLLLLLLLDDDDDLDWD
Momentum index
Rustavi
12W · 7D · 6LRecent →DLDWWWLWWWLWDLDWWDDWWLLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRustavi +27
Meshakhte
16 pts8% wins
2W · 10D · 13L · 25 played
For19
Against42
Rustavi
43 pts48% wins
12W · 7D · 6L · 25 played
For31
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Meshakhte offensive edge
Meshakhte faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-29 - Rustavi offensive edge
Rustavi's attack (62%) vs Meshakhte's defense (33%).
+29
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
MeshakhteHigh-risk / fragile
Rustavicompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Meshakhte50%
2Draws
3Rustavi30%