Goal expectancy
1.95Expected goals0.98
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Messancy
Estimated win chances: Messancy 60%, draw 21.6%, La Roche 18.4%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
64BuildingMessancy
Weighted momentum
Messancy carries the sharper recent run (+30 momentum).
34Cold spellLa Roche
La Roche · High-risk / fragile
Messancy
3W · 0D · 2LRecent →WLWWL
Momentum index
La Roche
1W · 1D · 3LRecent →WLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMessancy +5
Messancy
9 pts60% wins
3W · 0D · 2L · 5 played
For10
Against5
La Roche
4 pts20% wins
1W · 1D · 3L · 5 played
For3
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Messancy offensive edge
Messancy's attack (77%) vs La Roche's defense (29%).
+48 - La Roche offensive edge
La Roche runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-48
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
La RocheHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Messancy20%
1Draws
3La Roche60%