Messancy 4-0 Nothomb-Post Prediction

MessancyMessancy
4 — 0FT
Nothomb-PostNothomb-Post
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MessancyMessancyvsNothomb-postNothomb-post

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Messancy

Estimated win chances: Messancy 58%, draw 18.8%, Nothomb-post 23.2%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

2.47Expected goals1.54

From 11 and 11 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 2–19.7%
  • 3–18%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 2–27.5%
  • 2–06.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

43MixedMessancy
Weighted momentum

Messancy carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).

25Cold spellNothomb-post
Messancy · leaky defenseNothomb-post · High-risk / fragile

Messancy

4W · 3D · 4L
Recent →WLLDWLDLWWD
Momentum index

Nothomb-post

3W · 0D · 8L
Recent →LLWLLLLWWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMessancy +6

Messancy

15 pts
36% wins

4W · 3D · 4L · 11 played

For
23
Against
20
Goal diff +3

Nothomb-post

9 pts
27% wins

3W · 0D · 8L · 11 played

For
21
Against
35
Goal diff -14

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Messancy offensive edge

    Messancy's attack (57%) vs Nothomb-post's defense (22%).

    +35
  • Nothomb-post offensive edge

    Nothomb-post runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -35

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Messancy57
Nothomb-post43

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Messancy78
Nothomb-post22

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Messancy43
Nothomb-post25

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Messancy120
Nothomb-post-20

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Messancy37
Nothomb-post67

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Messancy70
Nothomb-post30

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Messancy0
Nothomb-post0
Messancyleaky defense
Nothomb-postHigh-risk / fragile