Messancy 4-2 Wallonia Libin Prediction

MessancyMessancy
4 — 2FT
Wallonia LibinWallonia Libin

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Messancy

Estimated win chances: Messancy 46.2%, draw 25.5%, Wallonia Libin 28.2%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.52Expected goals1.13

From 11 and 11 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–011%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 0–18.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

55BuildingMessancy
Weighted momentum

Wallonia Libin arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).

70Hot streakWallonia Libin
Messancy · compact defenseWallonia Libin · compact defense · hot form

Messancy

5W · 4D · 2L
Recent →DDDDWWWLWWL
Momentum index

Wallonia Libin

7W · 2D · 2L
Recent →DLWWWWWWWDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapWallonia Libin +4

Messancy

19 pts
45% wins

5W · 4D · 2L · 11 played

For
21
Against
7
Goal diff +14

Wallonia Libin

23 pts
64% wins

7W · 2D · 2L · 11 played

For
20
Against
10
Goal diff +10

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Messancy offensive edge

    Messancy's attack (38%) vs Wallonia Libin's defense (29%).

    +9
  • Wallonia Libin offensive edge

    Wallonia Libin runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -9

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Messancy38
Wallonia Libin62

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Messancy71
Wallonia Libin29

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Messancy55
Wallonia Libin70

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Messancy68
Wallonia Libin32

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Messancy30
Wallonia Libin30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Messancy41
Wallonia Libin59

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Messancy0
Wallonia Libin0
Messancycompact defense
Wallonia Libincompact defense · hot form