Goal expectancy
1.51Expected goals1.45
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Metz 39.1%, draw 24.5%, Orleans 36.4%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
89Hot streakMetz
Weighted momentum
Orleans arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).
100Hot streakOrleans
Metz · compact defense · hot formOrleans · hot form
Metz
3W · 1D · 0LRecent →WWWD
Momentum index
Orleans
4W · 0D · 0LRecent →WWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapOrleans +2
Metz
10 pts75% wins
3W · 1D · 0L · 4 played
For7
Against3
Orleans
12 pts100% wins
4W · 0D · 0L · 4 played
For12
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Metz offensive edge
Metz faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-6 - Orleans offensive edge
Orleans's attack (63%) vs Metz's defense (57%).
+6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Metzcompact defense · hot form
Orleanshot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Metz25%
0Draws
3Orleans75%