Goal expectancy
1.41Expected goals2.02
From 12 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Mid Isle Mariners 1-3 WIA Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Wia
Estimated win chances: Mid Isle Mariners 26.8%, draw 21.5%, Wia 51.7%. From 12 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
20Cold spellMid Isle Mariners
Weighted momentum
Wia arrives with stronger form weighting (+43 momentum).
63BuildingWia
Mid Isle Mariners · High-risk / fragile
Mid Isle Mariners
1W · 3D · 8LRecent →LWLDLLLDLLLD
Momentum index
Wia
7W · 1D · 3LRecent →WWLLWLWWDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Mid Isle Mariners
6 pts8% wins
1W · 3D · 8L · 12 played
For15
Against33
Wia
22 pts64% wins
7W · 1D · 3L · 11 played
For26
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Mid Isle Mariners offensive edge
Mid Isle Mariners faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-33 - Wia offensive edge
Wia's attack (69%) vs Mid Isle Mariners's defense (36%).
+33
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Mid Isle MarinersHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Mid Isle Mariners50%
0Draws
2Wia50%