Middlesbrough 1-0 Blackburn Prediction

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1 — 0FT
BlackburnBlackburn
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughvsBlackburnBlackburn

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Middlesbrough

Estimated win chances: Middlesbrough 48.6%, draw 24.2%, Blackburn 27.2%. From 23 and 22 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.67Expected goals1.19

From 23 and 22 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 0–17.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

59BuildingMiddlesbrough
Weighted momentum

Middlesbrough carries the sharper recent run (+24 momentum).

35Cold spellBlackburn
Blackburn · cold form

Middlesbrough

13W · 2D · 8L
Recent →LWWLWLLWDWWWWWDLWLWLWWL
Momentum index

Blackburn

7W · 8D · 7L
Recent →LLDLLWDDLWWDLDDLWWDWWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Middlesbrough

41 pts
57% wins

13W · 2D · 8L · 23 played

For
40
Against
31
Goal diff +9

Blackburn

29 pts
32% wins

7W · 8D · 7L · 22 played

For
29
Against
31
Goal diff -2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Middlesbrough offensive edge

    Middlesbrough's attack (79%) vs Blackburn's defense (39%).

    +40
  • Blackburn offensive edge

    Blackburn runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -40

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Middlesbrough79
Blackburn21

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Middlesbrough61
Blackburn39

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Middlesbrough59
Blackburn35

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Middlesbrough130
Blackburn-30

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Middlesbrough30
Blackburn30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Middlesbrough90
Blackburn10

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Middlesbrough100
Blackburn0
Blackburncold form