Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals1.00
From 28 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Middlesbrough 0-0 Crystal Palace Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Middlesbrough
Estimated win chances: Middlesbrough 42%, draw 28.5%, Crystal Palace 29.6%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
49MixedMiddlesbrough
Weighted momentum
Middlesbrough carries the sharper recent run (+8 momentum).
41MixedCrystal Palace
Crystal Palace · low scoring
Middlesbrough
12W · 10D · 6LRecent →DLLLDWWWWLDDWWLWLDDDDWWDWWWD
Momentum index
Crystal Palace
10W · 8D · 10LRecent →DLDLWLWWLDDLLDDWWWDWLLLDWWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMiddlesbrough +8
Middlesbrough
46 pts43% wins
12W · 10D · 6L · 28 played
For33
Against30
Crystal Palace
38 pts36% wins
10W · 8D · 10L · 28 played
For27
Against28
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Middlesbrough offensive edge
Middlesbrough faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-21 - Crystal Palace offensive edge
Crystal Palace's attack (56%) vs Middlesbrough's defense (35%).
+21
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Crystal Palacelow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Middlesbrough50%
0Draws
1Crystal Palace50%