Goal expectancy
1.29Expected goals1.23
From 38 and 38 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Middlesbrough 1-2 Wolves Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Middlesbrough 38%, draw 26.9%, Wolves 35.1%. From 38 and 38 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingMiddlesbrough
Weighted momentum
Wolves arrives with stronger form weighting (+13 momentum).
70Hot streakWolves
Middlesbrough · compact defenseWolves · compact defense · hot form
Middlesbrough
18W · 8D · 12LRecent →DWWWDWLWLDWLWLWWLWLLWLWWWLDDLDWDWDLWWL
Momentum index
Wolves
25W · 7D · 6LRecent →WWLWLDDWWWLDWWDWWDWWWWWWLWWWLWWDWDLWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapWolves +20
Middlesbrough
62 pts47% wins
18W · 8D · 12L · 38 played
For54
Against36
Wolves
82 pts66% wins
25W · 7D · 6L · 38 played
For69
Against33
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Middlesbrough offensive edge
Middlesbrough's attack (52%) vs Wolves's defense (42%).
+10 - Wolves offensive edge
Wolves runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Middlesbroughcompact defense
Wolvescompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
7Middlesbrough88%
0Draws
1Wolves13%