Millwall 0-0 Derby Prediction

MillwallMillwall
0 — 0FT
DerbyDerby
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MillwallMillwallvsDerbyDerby

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Millwall

Estimated win chances: Millwall 40%, draw 27.2%, Derby 32.8%. From 29 and 28 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.30Expected goals1.15

From 29 and 28 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 0–110.1%
  • 0–08.8%
  • 2–18.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

32Cold spellMillwall
Weighted momentum

Derby arrives with stronger form weighting (+14 momentum).

46MixedDerby
Millwall · low scoring · cold form

Millwall

7W · 8D · 14L
Recent →LLWLLLWLDLWDLLWWWDDLLLDLDLDWD
Momentum index

Derby

12W · 5D · 11L
Recent →LDWWWWLWDLLLLLWLDDLDWWLLWWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Millwall

29 pts
24% wins

7W · 8D · 14L · 29 played

For
28
Against
39
Goal diff -11

Derby

41 pts
43% wins

12W · 5D · 11L · 28 played

For
33
Against
36
Goal diff -3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Millwall offensive edge

    Millwall faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -35
  • Derby offensive edge

    Derby's attack (60%) vs Millwall's defense (25%).

    +35

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Millwall40
Derby60

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Millwall25
Derby75

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Millwall32
Derby46

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Millwall-20
Derby120

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Millwall30
Derby30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Millwall23
Derby77

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Millwall0
Derby100
Millwalllow scoring · cold form