Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough
Key events
View all- J. Bryan
- L. Engel
- I. Jones
- M. Forss
FT 1–3
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Estimated outcome
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Millwall41.9%
- Draw25.8%
- Middlesbrough32.2%
Venue
The Den
London · England
- Address
- Zampa Road, Bermondsey
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 20146
Match
A. Davies
Round 27
- Referee
- A. Davies
- Round
- 27
- Date
Competition
League · England
- Country
- England (GB-ENG)
- Season
- 2023
- Dates
- 2023-08-04 → 2024-05-26
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
59%59%41%41%
Expected goals (xG)
1.1633%2.3167%
Total shots
1552%1448%
Shots on target
545%655%
Team form & competition
View all- #13 Position
- 59 Points
- 16-11-19 W-D-L
- 45/55 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 3-0 / 0-4
- Worst defeats
- 0-4 / 3-1
- #8 Position
- 69 Points
- 20-9-17 W-D-L
- 71/62 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-0 / 0-4
- Worst defeats
- 1-3 / 3-0
Head to head
View all7Millwallwins
5Drawsmatches
8Middlesbroughwins
Recorded meetings: 20 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Millwall 1–5 Middlesbrough
- Millwall most goals
- Millwall 3–1 Middlesbrough
- Middlesbrough most goals
- Millwall 1–5 Middlesbrough
Match headlines
Headlines link to a short summary; the full story is on the original publisher’s site.



Middlesbrough created the clearer chances on xG (1.16 vs 2.31, Δ 1.15). Millwall fired more attempts (15 vs 14 shots). Middlesbrough was more accurate in front of goal (43% on target vs 33%). Millwall held more of the ball (59% possession).
Middlesbrough outperformed their xG by 0.7 goals (3 scored vs 2.31 xG).