Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.51
From 7 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Miramar 36.2%, draw 24.5%, Progreso 39.3%. From 7 and 8 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
76Hot streakMiramar
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
83Hot streakProgreso
Miramar · hot formProgreso · compact defense · hot form
Miramar
4W · 3D · 0LRecent →WWDWDWD
Momentum index
Progreso
6W · 2D · 0LRecent →WWWDDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Miramar
15 pts57% wins
4W · 3D · 0L · 7 played
For14
Against9
Progreso
20 pts75% wins
6W · 2D · 0L · 8 played
For19
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Miramar offensive edge
Miramar faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-7 - Progreso offensive edge
Progreso's attack (52%) vs Miramar's defense (45%).
+7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Miramarhot form
Progresocompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Miramar33%
1Draws
1Progreso33%