Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals1.30
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Molde
Estimated win chances: Molde 42.7%, draw 24.9%, Rosenborg 32.4%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
37Cold spellMolde
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
37Cold spellRosenborg
Molde · cold formRosenborg · cold form
Molde
9W · 3D · 14LRecent →LLLWLLLWDWWWLLLWLWLLWWDDLL
Momentum index
Rosenborg
9W · 9D · 8LRecent →DLDLLDWLLWDWLDLDWLWDWDDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRosenborg +6
Molde
30 pts35% wins
9W · 3D · 14L · 26 played
For36
Against39
Rosenborg
36 pts35% wins
9W · 9D · 8L · 26 played
For36
Against37
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Molde offensive edge
Molde's attack (50%) vs Rosenborg's defense (46%).
+4 - Rosenborg offensive edge
Rosenborg runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Moldecold form
Rosenborgcold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Molde38%
5Draws
0Rosenborg0%