Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals1.33
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Molde
Estimated win chances: Molde 42.1%, draw 24.8%, Tromso 33.1%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
50MixedMolde
Weighted momentum
Tromso arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).
61BuildingTromso
Molde
7W · 3D · 8LRecent →DWWWLLLWLWLLWWDDLL
Momentum index
Tromso
10W · 3D · 5LRecent →LDDLWWWWWWWWWLDLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTromso +9
Molde
24 pts39% wins
7W · 3D · 8L · 18 played
For25
Against23
Tromso
33 pts56% wins
10W · 3D · 5L · 18 played
For30
Against25
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Molde offensive edge
Molde's attack (60%) vs Tromso's defense (38%).
+22 - Tromso offensive edge
Tromso runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-22
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Molde63%
0Draws
3Tromso38%