Goal expectancy
1.13Expected goals1.05
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Mollerussa 2-2 Peralada Prediction
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Mollerussa 37.4%, draw 29.3%, Peralada 33.3%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
36Cold spellMollerussa
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
41MixedPeralada
Mollerussa · Structured / conservativePeralada · compact defense
Mollerussa
2W · 1D · 3LRecent →LWDLLW
Momentum index
Peralada
1W · 4D · 1LRecent →DDWDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Mollerussa
7 pts33% wins
2W · 1D · 3L · 6 played
For4
Against5
Peralada
7 pts17% wins
1W · 4D · 1L · 6 played
For7
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Mollerussa offensive edge
Mollerussa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-23 - Peralada offensive edge
Peralada's attack (67%) vs Mollerussa's defense (44%).
+23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
MollerussaStructured / conservative
Peraladacompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Mollerussa17%
2Draws
3Peralada50%