Goal expectancy
2.13Expected goals1.40
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Monheim
Estimated win chances: Monheim 54.2%, draw 20.8%, Büderich 25%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellMonheim
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
44MixedBüderich
Monheim · cold formBüderich · leaky defense
Monheim
3W · 1D · 4LRecent →WLLLDWLW
Momentum index
Büderich
3W · 0D · 5LRecent →WLLWWLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMonheim +1
Monheim
10 pts38% wins
3W · 1D · 4L · 8 played
For13
Against10
Büderich
9 pts38% wins
3W · 0D · 5L · 8 played
For16
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Monheim offensive edge
Monheim faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-6 - Büderich offensive edge
Büderich's attack (65%) vs Monheim's defense (59%).
+6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Monheimcold form
Büderichleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Monheim50%
0Draws
1Büderich50%