Goal expectancy
1.36Expected goals1.26
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Monte 39.2%, draw 26.2%, Naval 34.5%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
12Cold spellMonte
Weighted momentum
Naval arrives with stronger form weighting (+12 momentum).
24Cold spellNaval
Monte · High-risk / fragileNaval · High-risk / fragile
Monte
2W · 3D · 13LRecent →LLLDLLDLLLWLLLDLLW
Momentum index
Naval
3W · 4D · 11LRecent →WLLLLWLLDLDLLLDLWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNaval +4
Monte
9 pts11% wins
2W · 3D · 13L · 18 played
For12
Against30
Naval
13 pts17% wins
3W · 4D · 11L · 18 played
For19
Against31
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Monte offensive edge
Monte faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-6 - Naval offensive edge
Naval's attack (56%) vs Monte's defense (50%).
+6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
MonteHigh-risk / fragile
NavalHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Monte100%
0Draws
0Naval0%