Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals1.14
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Montecchio Maggiore 1-2 Este Prediction
Balanced — model leans Montecchio Maggiore
Estimated win chances: Montecchio Maggiore 41.3%, draw 27%, Este 31.7%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
26Cold spellMontecchio Maggiore
Weighted momentum
Este arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).
43MixedEste
Montecchio Maggiore · cold formEste · low scoring
Montecchio Maggiore
2W · 3D · 5LRecent →LWLLDLLDDW
Momentum index
Este
4W · 2D · 4LRecent →WLDLWLLDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEste +5
Montecchio Maggiore
9 pts20% wins
2W · 3D · 5L · 10 played
For11
Against14
Este
14 pts40% wins
4W · 2D · 4L · 10 played
For10
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Montecchio Maggiore offensive edge
Montecchio Maggiore faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-7 - Este offensive edge
Este's attack (45%) vs Montecchio Maggiore's defense (38%).
+7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Montecchio Maggiorecold form
Estelow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Montecchio Maggiore60%
1Draws
1Este20%