Montpellier 3-1 Nice Prediction

MontpellierMontpellier
3 — 1FT
NiceNice
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MontpellierMontpelliervsNiceNice

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Montpellier

Estimated win chances: Montpellier 41.9%, draw 25.2%, Nice 32.8%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.49Expected goals1.29

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 1–27.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

30Cold spellMontpellier
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

34Cold spellNice
Montpellier · cold formNice · cold form

Montpellier

2W · 2D · 5L
Recent →LLWDLWLLD
Momentum index

Nice

1W · 6D · 2L
Recent →DLDDWDDDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapNice +1

Montpellier

8 pts
22% wins

2W · 2D · 5L · 9 played

For
12
Against
14
Goal diff -2

Nice

9 pts
11% wins

1W · 6D · 2L · 9 played

For
12
Against
13
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Montpellier offensive edge

    Montpellier faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -6
  • Nice offensive edge

    Nice's attack (56%) vs Montpellier's defense (50%).

    +6

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Montpellier44
Nice56

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Montpellier50
Nice50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Montpellier30
Nice34

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Montpellier38
Nice62

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Montpellier32
Nice30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Montpellier40
Nice60

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Montpellier91
Nice9
Montpelliercold form
Nicecold form