Morocco 1-0 Namibia Prediction

MoroccoMorocco
1 — 0FT
NamibiaNamibia

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Morocco

Estimated win chances: Morocco 49.9%, draw 26.9%, Namibia 23.2%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.43Expected goals0.88

From 6 and 6 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–014.4%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 0–010.1%
  • 2–19.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

63BuildingMorocco
Weighted momentum

Morocco carries the sharper recent run (+19 momentum).

44MixedNamibia
Morocco · compact defenseNamibia · low scoring

Morocco

3W · 2D · 1L
Recent →DWDWWL
Momentum index

Namibia

2W · 2D · 2L
Recent →LDWWDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMorocco +3

Morocco

11 pts
50% wins

3W · 2D · 1L · 6 played

For
8
Against
3
Goal diff +5

Namibia

8 pts
33% wins

2W · 2D · 2L · 6 played

For
5
Against
7
Goal diff -2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Morocco offensive edge

    Morocco's attack (62%) vs Namibia's defense (25%).

    +37
  • Namibia offensive edge

    Namibia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -37

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Morocco62
Namibia38

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Morocco75
Namibia25

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Morocco63
Namibia44

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Morocco124
Namibia-24

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Morocco30
Namibia30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Morocco58
Namibia42

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Morocco100
Namibia0
Moroccocompact defense
Namibialow scoring

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Morocco100%
0Draws
0Namibia0%

Recent meetings