Goal expectancy
1.17Expected goals1.52
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Salpa
Estimated win chances: Mp 29.3%, draw 25.4%, Salpa 45.3%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
12Cold spellMp
Weighted momentum
Salpa arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).
27Cold spellSalpa
Mp · High-risk / fragileSalpa · cold form
Mp
0W · 4D · 8LRecent →DLLDLLLDLDLL
Momentum index
Salpa
2W · 5D · 5LRecent →LDDDDLLLWWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSalpa +7
Mp
4 pts0% wins
0W · 4D · 8L · 12 played
For3
Against27
Salpa
11 pts17% wins
2W · 5D · 5L · 12 played
For16
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Mp offensive edge
Mp faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-28 - Salpa offensive edge
Salpa's attack (75%) vs Mp's defense (47%).
+28
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
MpHigh-risk / fragile
Salpacold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Mp33%
1Draws
1Salpa33%