Goal expectancy
1.02Expected goals1.04
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Muhanga 34.3%, draw 30.3%, Gorilla 35.4%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
25Cold spellMuhanga
Weighted momentum
Gorilla arrives with stronger form weighting (+9 momentum).
34Cold spellGorilla
Muhanga · low scoring · cold formGorilla · low scoring · cold form
Muhanga
5W · 6D · 16LRecent →LLLLWDDWLDLLLDLLDLWWLLWDLLL
Momentum index
Gorilla
7W · 8D · 12LRecent →LWWDLLLLWDLLWLLDDWLLLWDDDDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGorilla +8
Muhanga
21 pts19% wins
5W · 6D · 16L · 27 played
For17
Against38
Gorilla
29 pts26% wins
7W · 8D · 12L · 27 played
For21
Against31
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Muhanga offensive edge
Muhanga faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-32 - Gorilla offensive edge
Gorilla's attack (75%) vs Muhanga's defense (43%).
+32
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Muhangalow scoring · cold form
Gorillalow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Muhanga40%
1Draws
2Gorilla40%