Murom 2-1 Baltika II Prediction

MuromMurom
2 — 1FT
Baltika IIBaltika II
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

MuromMuromvsBaltika IiBaltika Ii

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Murom

Estimated win chances: Murom 38.4%, draw 28.7%, Baltika Ii 32.9%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.18Expected goals1.07

From 5 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.5%
  • 1–012.6%
  • 0–111.4%
  • 0–010.7%
  • 2–17.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

68Hot streakMurom
Weighted momentum

Murom carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).

57BuildingBaltika Ii
Murom · Structured / conservativeBaltika Ii · compact defense

Murom

3W · 1D · 1L
Recent →WDWLW
Momentum index

Baltika Ii

3W · 1D · 1L
Recent →DLWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Murom

10 pts
60% wins

3W · 1D · 1L · 5 played

For
5
Against
4
Goal diff +1

Baltika Ii

10 pts
60% wins

3W · 1D · 1L · 5 played

For
6
Against
3
Goal diff +3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Murom offensive edge

    Murom faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -12
  • Baltika Ii offensive edge

    Baltika Ii's attack (55%) vs Murom's defense (43%).

    +12

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Murom45
Baltika Ii55

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Murom43
Baltika Ii57

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Murom68
Baltika Ii57

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Murom26
Baltika Ii74

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Murom30
Baltika Ii30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Murom50
Baltika Ii50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Murom0
Baltika Ii0
MuromStructured / conservative
Baltika Iicompact defense