Goal expectancy
1.52Expected goals1.92
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Eps
Estimated win chances: Musa 30.7%, draw 22.1%, Eps 47.2%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
29Cold spellMusa
Weighted momentum
Eps arrives with stronger form weighting (+19 momentum).
48MixedEps
Musa · High-risk / fragile
Musa
2W · 3D · 8LRecent →LWLDWDLLLLDLL
Momentum index
Eps
5W · 2D · 6LRecent →WWLLLWDLWWLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEps +8
Musa
9 pts15% wins
2W · 3D · 8L · 13 played
For16
Against39
Eps
17 pts38% wins
5W · 2D · 6L · 13 played
For24
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Musa offensive edge
Musa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-2 - Eps offensive edge
Eps's attack (47%) vs Musa's defense (45%).
+2
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
MusaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Musa67%
1Draws
0Eps0%