Mutilvera 3-1 Gares Prediction

MutilveraMutilvera
3 — 1FT
GaresGares

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Mutilvera

Estimated win chances: Mutilvera 60.5%, draw 21.7%, Gares 17.7%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.92Expected goals0.93

From 13 and 13 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–011.7%
  • 2–011.2%
  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–110.4%
  • 3–07.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

71Hot streakMutilvera
Weighted momentum

Mutilvera carries the sharper recent run (+41 momentum).

30Cold spellGares
Mutilvera · compact defense · hot formGares · High-risk / fragile

Mutilvera

9W · 2D · 2L
Recent →DWWLDWWWWWLWW
Momentum index

Gares

2W · 3D · 8L
Recent →WLWDLLLLLDLDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMutilvera +20

Mutilvera

29 pts
69% wins

9W · 2D · 2L · 13 played

For
26
Against
12
Goal diff +14

Gares

9 pts
15% wins

2W · 3D · 8L · 13 played

For
12
Against
23
Goal diff -11

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Mutilvera offensive edge

    Mutilvera faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    0
  • Gares offensive edge

    Gares runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    0

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Mutilvera44
Gares56

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Mutilvera56
Gares44

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Mutilvera71
Gares30

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Mutilvera50
Gares50

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Mutilvera30
Gares37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Mutilvera53
Gares47

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Mutilvera0
Gares0
Mutilveracompact defense · hot form
GaresHigh-risk / fragile