Goal expectancy
2.45Expected goals1.33
From 7 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Næsby 0-1 Middelfart Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Næsby
Estimated win chances: Næsby 62%, draw 18.5%, Middelfart 19.5%. From 7 and 10 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
73Hot streakNæsby
Weighted momentum
Næsby carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).
55BuildingMiddelfart
Næsby · hot formMiddelfart · leaky defense
Næsby
4W · 2D · 1LRecent →WDWWWLD
Momentum index
Middelfart
5W · 1D · 4LRecent →WWLLWLWLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Næsby
14 pts57% wins
4W · 2D · 1L · 7 played
For24
Against7
Middelfart
16 pts50% wins
5W · 1D · 4L · 10 played
For20
Against22
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Næsby offensive edge
Næsby's attack (69%) vs Middelfart's defense (33%).
+36 - Middelfart offensive edge
Middelfart runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-36
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Næsbyhot form
Middelfartleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Næsby40%
3Draws
3Middelfart30%