NAC Breda 0-3 Ajax Prediction

NAC BredaNAC Breda
0 — 3FT
AjaxAjax
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Updated

Nac BredaNac BredavsAjaxAjax

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Nac Breda 36%, draw 24.5%, Ajax 39.5%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.44Expected goals1.52

From 20 and 20 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 1–07.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

55BuildingNac Breda
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

59BuildingAjax

Nac Breda

9W · 4D · 7L
Recent →DDWWWLWLWLLLWWDWWLLD
Momentum index

Ajax

11W · 5D · 4L
Recent →LWWDWDLLWWDWLDWWWWWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAjax +7

Nac Breda

31 pts
45% wins

9W · 4D · 7L · 20 played

For
31
Against
30
Goal diff +1

Ajax

38 pts
55% wins

11W · 5D · 4L · 20 played

For
39
Against
20
Goal diff +19

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Nac Breda offensive edge

    Nac Breda's attack (68%) vs Ajax's defense (64%).

    +4
  • Ajax offensive edge

    Ajax runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -4

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Nac Breda68
Ajax32

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Nac Breda36
Ajax64

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Nac Breda55
Ajax59

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Nac Breda58
Ajax42

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Nac Breda30
Ajax30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Nac Breda52
Ajax48

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Nac Breda0
Ajax100