Goal expectancy
1.39Expected goals1.44
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Nakumatt 36.3%, draw 25.1%, Sofapaka 38.6%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
25Cold spellNakumatt
Weighted momentum
Sofapaka arrives with stronger form weighting (+43 momentum).
68Hot streakSofapaka
Nakumatt · High-risk / fragileSofapaka · Open but unstable
Nakumatt
1W · 3D · 3LRecent →LLDDWDL
Momentum index
Sofapaka
4W · 1D · 2LRecent →WDWWLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSofapaka +7
Nakumatt
6 pts14% wins
1W · 3D · 3L · 7 played
For5
Against13
Sofapaka
13 pts57% wins
4W · 1D · 2L · 7 played
For11
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Nakumatt offensive edge
Nakumatt faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-23 - Sofapaka offensive edge
Sofapaka's attack (83%) vs Nakumatt's defense (60%).
+23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
NakumattHigh-risk / fragile
SofapakaOpen but unstable
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Nakumatt50%
1Draws
0Sofapaka0%