Nancy 2-3 Lyon Prediction

NancyNancy
2 — 3FT
LyonLyon

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Nancy

Estimated win chances: Nancy 42.3%, draw 26.9%, Lyon 30.8%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.36Expected goals1.12

From 7 and 7 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–08.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

35Cold spellNancy
Weighted momentum

Nancy carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).

20Cold spellLyon
Nancy · High-risk / fragileLyon · low scoring · cold form

Nancy

2W · 2D · 3L
Recent →DLWLDLW
Momentum index

Lyon

1W · 2D · 4L
Recent →LLDLWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapNancy +3

Nancy

8 pts
29% wins

2W · 2D · 3L · 7 played

For
7
Against
12
Goal diff -5

Lyon

5 pts
14% wins

1W · 2D · 4L · 7 played

For
4
Against
9
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Nancy offensive edge

    Nancy's attack (71%) vs Lyon's defense (57%).

    +14
  • Lyon offensive edge

    Lyon runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -14

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Nancy71
Lyon29

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Nancy43
Lyon57

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Nancy35
Lyon20

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Nancy78
Lyon22

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Nancy34
Lyon30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Nancy56
Lyon44

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Nancy0
Lyon0
NancyHigh-risk / fragile
Lyonlow scoring · cold form