Goal expectancy
1.10Expected goals1.19
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Nancy 33.6%, draw 28.4%, Marseille 38%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
40MixedNancy
Weighted momentum
Marseille arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).
62BuildingMarseille
Nancy · low scoringMarseille · compact defense
Nancy
4W · 6D · 8LRecent →WDLLWWLWLDLDDDLLLD
Momentum index
Marseille
7W · 7D · 4LRecent →WDWWLWWWDDDWLLLDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMarseille +10
Nancy
18 pts22% wins
4W · 6D · 8L · 18 played
For16
Against23
Marseille
28 pts39% wins
7W · 7D · 4L · 18 played
For24
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Nancy offensive edge
Nancy faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-24 - Marseille offensive edge
Marseille's attack (54%) vs Nancy's defense (30%).
+24
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Nancylow scoring
Marseillecompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Nancy50%
0Draws
1Marseille50%