Goal expectancy
1.24Expected goals1.07
From 35 and 35 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Nancy 40.1%, draw 28.2%, Nice 31.7%. From 35 and 35 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.24Expected goals1.07
From 35 and 35 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
10W · 9D · 16L · 35 played
10W · 13D · 12L · 35 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Nancy faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-6Nice's attack (73%) vs Nancy's defense (67%).
+6Comparison indices from the match data partner.
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.