Nantes 1-0 Lens Prediction

NantesNantes
1 — 0FT
LensLens
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

NantesNantesvsLensLens

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Nantes

Estimated win chances: Nantes 48.6%, draw 25.7%, Lens 25.7%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.52Expected goals1.03

From 12 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 0–18.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

50MixedNantes
Weighted momentum

Nantes carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).

35Cold spellLens
Lens · low scoring · cold form

Nantes

4W · 4D · 4L
Recent →LWDWWDDLWDLL
Momentum index

Lens

3W · 4D · 5L
Recent →LDDLDWWDLWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapNantes +3

Nantes

16 pts
33% wins

4W · 4D · 4L · 12 played

For
17
Against
14
Goal diff +3

Lens

13 pts
25% wins

3W · 4D · 5L · 12 played

For
11
Against
17
Goal diff -6

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Nantes offensive edge

    Nantes's attack (82%) vs Lens's defense (42%).

    +40
  • Lens offensive edge

    Lens runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -40

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Nantes82
Lens18

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Nantes58
Lens42

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Nantes50
Lens35

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Nantes130
Lens-30

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Nantes30
Lens30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Nantes77
Lens23

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Nantes0
Lens0
Lenslow scoring · cold form