Nardò 0-0 Heraclea Prediction

NardòNardò
0 — 0FT
HeracleaHeraclea
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

NardòNardòvsHeracleaHeraclea

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Nardò

Estimated win chances: Nardò 46.1%, draw 28.4%, Heraclea 25.5%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.30Expected goals0.89

From 24 and 24 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–014.7%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–011.3%
  • 0–110.1%
  • 2–09.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

56BuildingNardò
Weighted momentum

Nardò carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).

36Cold spellHeraclea
Nardò · compact defenseHeraclea · low scoring · cold form

Nardò

9W · 10D · 5L
Recent →DWLWDDWDWDDWWDWDLWDLWDLL
Momentum index

Heraclea

9W · 4D · 11L
Recent →WDLDLLWLLLLLLWDWWWWLDLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapNardò +6

Nardò

37 pts
38% wins

9W · 10D · 5L · 24 played

For
30
Against
22
Goal diff +8

Heraclea

31 pts
38% wins

9W · 4D · 11L · 24 played

For
21
Against
23
Goal diff -2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Nardò offensive edge

    Nardò's attack (64%) vs Heraclea's defense (50%).

    +14
  • Heraclea offensive edge

    Heraclea runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -14

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Nardò64
Heraclea36

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Nardò50
Heraclea50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Nardò56
Heraclea36

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Nardò78
Heraclea22

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Nardò30
Heraclea30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Nardò62
Heraclea38

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Nardò0
Heraclea100
Nardòcompact defense
Heraclealow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Nardò100%
0Draws
0Heraclea0%

Recent meetings

Heraclea
2 – 0FT
Nardò

Serie D - Girone HGroup H, matchday 8