Goal expectancy
1.86Expected goals0.99
From 5 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Nasaf
Estimated win chances: Nasaf 57.8%, draw 22.5%, Bunyodkor 19.8%. From 5 and 6 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
73Hot streakNasaf
Weighted momentum
Nasaf carries the sharper recent run (+61 momentum).
12Cold spellBunyodkor
Nasaf · hot formBunyodkor · High-risk / fragile
Nasaf
3W · 2D · 0LRecent →WDWDW
Momentum index
Bunyodkor
0W · 2D · 4LRecent →LDLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Nasaf
11 pts60% wins
3W · 2D · 0L · 5 played
For9
Against5
Bunyodkor
2 pts0% wins
0W · 2D · 4L · 6 played
For4
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Nasaf offensive edge
Nasaf's attack (75%) vs Bunyodkor's defense (33%).
+42 - Bunyodkor offensive edge
Bunyodkor runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-42
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Nasafhot form
BunyodkorHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Nasaf20%
2Draws
2Bunyodkor40%