Goal expectancy
2.24Expected goals1.34
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Neustrelitz 2-1 BAK '07 Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Neustrelitz
Estimated win chances: Neustrelitz 57.8%, draw 20%, Bak '07 22.2%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
60BuildingNeustrelitz
Weighted momentum
Neustrelitz carries the sharper recent run (+17 momentum).
43MixedBak '07
Bak '07 · leaky defense
Neustrelitz
15W · 5D · 9LRecent →LDWLWDWWDWWDWLWWWWLLLWLWWWDLL
Momentum index
Bak '07
11W · 3D · 15LRecent →WDWLLLWLLWLWWLLWLLDWLLWLWWLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNeustrelitz +14
Neustrelitz
50 pts52% wins
15W · 5D · 9L · 29 played
For60
Against37
Bak '07
36 pts38% wins
11W · 3D · 15L · 29 played
For49
Against64
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Neustrelitz offensive edge
Neustrelitz faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-3 - Bak '07 offensive edge
Bak '07's attack (56%) vs Neustrelitz's defense (53%).
+3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Bak '07leaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Neustrelitz33%
1Draws
1Bak '0733%