Goal expectancy
1.86Expected goals1.07
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Nice
Estimated win chances: Nice 55.8%, draw 22.6%, Angers 21.6%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
54BuildingNice
Weighted momentum
Nice carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).
36Cold spellAngers
Angers · low scoring · cold form
Nice
13W · 9D · 7LRecent →DLLDLWWWWDWLWWDWLWDWWDDDWLWDL
Momentum index
Angers
8W · 6D · 15LRecent →WLLLLLDWLDLWWWLLWLLWWDDLDDLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNice +18
Nice
48 pts45% wins
13W · 9D · 7L · 29 played
For54
Against37
Angers
30 pts28% wins
8W · 6D · 15L · 29 played
For28
Against46
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Nice offensive edge
Nice's attack (71%) vs Angers's defense (53%).
+18 - Angers offensive edge
Angers runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Angerslow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Nice29%
1Draws
4Angers57%